Friday, October 10, 2014

Rainy Weekend Ahead

Current Conditions
Good afternoon everyone.  Rain continues to be the dominating factor in our weather and will remain for the weekend.  According to the Warren County mesonet site, Bowling Green has seen 0.28" since midnight.  Light rain continues to fall in the area.  The cause of this rain is a cold front which has stalled over the south central Kentucky.  Waves of precipitation continue to ride along this front.  If you have to be out driving this afternoon/evening, take it easy on the roadways as ponding of water could be an issue.

Forecast Discussion:
For the remainder of this afternoon, waves of light to moderate showers are likely.  The cold front that is positioned over the state will shift south slightly.  As this front shifts to the south, it will cut off the moisture that is coming from the gulf.  Therefore, models have the rain ending around midnight tonight into the early morning hours tomorrow.  More rain will return tomorrow as it works it's way back into the area.  This will be due to a shortwave trough that will be swinging through.  Current timing puts precipitation in the area by 7:00am.  Waves of rain will move through tomorrow into tomorrow afternoon.  Once again, if you will be driving tomorrow, take it easy.  Sunday, as a surface high pressure moves off to the east, winds will turn out the south.  Waves of precipitation will once again be possible throughout the day on Sunday.  Once all the precipitation is over with, total accumulations will be around 1.00"-1.25" (Figure 1).

Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) valid for Saturday, October 11 - Tuesday, October 14.
 Days at a Glance:

Tonight:  Expect a temperature of 53°F under mostly cloudy skies with winds out of the northeast at 5 mph.  Chance of Precipitation is 80%. 

Saturday:  Low of 50°F under mostly cloudy skies with winds out of the northeast at 5-10 mph.  Expect a high of 64°F.  Waves of showers will continue after 7am.  Chance of precipitation is 75%. 

Sunday:  Expect a low of 49°F and a high of 73°F under mostly cloudy skies.  Winds will be out of the south at 5-10 mph.  Waves of precipitation will be possible throughout the day.  Chance of rain is 60%.

Forecaster:  Tyler Binkley           

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