Thursday, February 26, 2015

A Look At This Weekend's Forecast

Bowling Green is currently 33 degrees according to the Kentucky Mesonet. Radar shows snow showers in northern Kentucky moving south, so we could potentially see a dusting of snow this evening.
snow1
A cold front passed through earlier today and the temperatures will continue to drop tonight and tomorrow as high pressure moves into the region.  While we remain east of the center of high pressure, we will experience colder temperatures, with lows tonight dropping below 20. This high pressure will move to the east Friday and Saturday. The NAM 2-meter surface temperature for Saturday morning shows very cold arctic air to our north as this high pressure moves eastward.
nam cold temps
Saturday and Sunday we can expect temperatures to warm up as winds become more southerly. Models are showing a stationary front starting to develop late Saturday into Sunday which will keep skies overcast and giving us a chance for rain. The WPC Surface Analysis for Sunday shows this stationary front stretching across the country.
surface sunday
It will be nice to have a brief warm-up this weekend. Though it is still 5 days out, Tuesday of next week looks to be a peek at spring with highs in the 60s and a chance of thunderstorms. This could all change with new model outputs, so be sure to check back soon for another update!
Have a fantastic weekend!


Bowling Green’s 5-Day Forecast:
  • Tonight: A chance of flurries, mainly before 7pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 18. Wind chill values as low as 9. North wind 6 to 9 mph.
  • Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 26. Wind chill values as low as 9. North wind around 8 mph.
  • Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 16. Wind chill values as low as 7. Northeast wind around 7 mph.
  • Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 39. East wind 6 to 8 mph.
  • Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31.
  • Sunday: A 50 percent chance of rain. Cloudy, with a high near 48.
  • Sunday Night: Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 35. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
  • Monday: A 30 percent chance of rain. Cloudy, with a high near 44.
  • Monday Night: Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 37. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
  • Tuesday: Rain likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a high near 63. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Sunday, February 22, 2015

Winter Storm Recap and This Week's Forecast

Last week was quite the week for record-breaking cold and snow, as well as icing, flooding, and significant rain totals to finish up the weekend. To recap on some of the memorable events last week, Bowling Green received 9.6 inches of snow after the snow event on Monday, February 16th. The last time Bowling Green saw this much snow was March of 1968. Low temperatures broke records with -7 degrees on Thursday, February 19th and -4 degrees on Friday, February 20th. After additional accumulations of snow, sleet, freezing rain, and rain Friday through Sunday, the 2-Day total for precipitation amounts for Bowling Green were around 2.5 inches, not including the already existing snow pack.


2-Day precip


The jet streams have been in a very active pattern for the last few weeks and look to continue on this way for the foreseeable future. The 250mb winds, with North America positioned at the bottom center of the globe, show a meridional pattern over most of the northern hemisphere. As long as the jet streams remain in this pattern, we should continue to see interesting weather.


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As for the weather this week, we have another upper-level trough swinging through bringing more arctic air into the region. A high pressure system will move across the Ohio Valley region during the early part of the week, meaning we should see more sunshine and calm conditions. The NAM Surface Map for Monday morning shows this high pressure system off to the west and northerly winds in our area.


NAM 2-23 12Z


Fortunately, it looks as if this week will be nothing like last week in terms of precipitation, however, we can’t seem to shake the cold. So bundle up and check back later in the week for an update on the weekend!


Bowling Green’s 5-Day Forecast
  •  Tonight: Cloudy, with a low around 13. Wind chill values as low as 1. North wind 8 to 11 mph.
  • Monday: Partly sunny and cold, with a high near 22. Wind chill values as low as 1. North wind 7 to 11 mph.
  • Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 11. North wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm after midnight.
  • Tuesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 34. Wind chill values as low as 6. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph in the morning.
  • Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 21. West wind 3 to 7 mph.
  • Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 36.
  • Wednesday Night: Scattered flurries. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 15.
  • Thursday: A 20 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 27.
  • Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 7.