Thursday, December 18, 2014

Weekend forecast plus a sneak peek at snow chances for next week

Bowling Green experienced a few flurries this morning due to weak isentropic forcing in the upper levels. Much of this precipitation has cleared out of the area but skies will remain mostly cloudy until the late evening hours. The WPC surface analysis shows high pressure situated over most of the eastern U.S., which will keep things relatively calm over the weekend.

A low pressure system to the far south may bring traces of precipitation into the area Friday night into Saturday morning. Temperatures will be low enough that any falling precipitation could become a wintry mix. No accumulation is expected, but early morning travel could be impacted. The sun could decide to break through the clouds late Saturday morning and give us sunny skies for the rest of the weekend. Temperatures will stay in the mid to lower 40s for daytime highs today through Sunday.


Early speculations into next week show that we have a good possibility of seeing snow on Christmas Eve. A cold front will be moving through late Tuesday night into Wednesday, bringing cold arctic air and enough forcing for any moisture in the area to be lifted. GFS surface pressure and precipitation maps show that wrap around snow may occur throughout the day on Wednesday. GFS is forecasting 0.5-1.0 inches of snow by the end of the day on Wednesday, but this is likely to change as we get closer and more accurate model runs.
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Keep in mind that this is a week out and much could change within that time. Be sure to check back next week for an update on our snow chances!


Bowling Green's Weekend Forecast:


  • Today: A chance of freezing drizzle and sleet before 10am. Cloudy, with a high near 36. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
  • Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Calm wind.
  • Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 42. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.
  • Friday Night: Rain and snow possible before midnight, then a chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 33. Northeast wind 3 to 5 mph.
  • Saturday: A chance of rain and snow before noon, then a chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42. Northeast wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
  • Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31.
  • Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 44.
  • Sunday Night: A 20 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35.

Sunday, December 14, 2014

Weather update for the work week

South central Kentucky is currently sitting under overcast skies with a southerly wind and temperatures around the mid-40s. Temperatures will be on the rise as winds from the south bring warm and moist air into the area. High temperatures for Monday could be in the upper 50s before a cold front moves through the region late Monday afternoon. The WPC Surface Analysis shows the cold front just west of Kentucky around 6pm Monday evening.





This cold front will bring temperatures back to near-average for the remainder of the week. A high pressure system will slowly make its way across the U.S. over the next few days. Skies will remain overcast until Wednesday, where we will likely see a much needed break in the clouds. There is a slight chance from precipitation Wednesday night into Thursday morning due a shortwave disturbance in the lower levels. Depending on the track of this system, we could see some snow flurries as it moves through since temperatures will be in the low 30s. Composite reflectivity at midnight on Wednesday shows this scattered precipitation across the area.



We won't see our next chance for rain until well into the weekend. Check back for a post later in the week detailing the weekend forecast!


Bowling Green's 5 Day Forecast:


Sunday Night: Mostly cloud, with a low around 42 degrees with a calm south wind.


Monday: Scattered showers likely as a cold front moves through after 4pm. Precipitation amounts around a quarter inch. Mostly cloudy with a high around 55 degrees. South wind around 8-10 mph.


Monday night: Showers likely, mainly before 8pm. Cloudy, with a low around 45. South wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Tuesday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Cloudy, with a high near 49. West wind 9 to 11 mph.

Tuesday Night: Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 33. West wind 6 to 8 mph.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 42.

Wednesday Night: A 30 percent chance of snow after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30.
Thursday: A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29.

Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Cloudy, with a high near 41.