Sunday, April 19, 2015

Rain Continues

Discussion:

Today has been a rather seasonable April day, especially compared to yesterday.  Our high temperature in Bowling Green today was 74°.  Normally, our high this time of year is about 71°, so we were just slightly above average.  Yesterday, however, our high was a warm 81°! 

We also had plenty of April showers today.  According to the Kentucky Mesonet, Bowling Green has received over an inch of rain since midnight last night.  This is now been one of the top ten wettest Aprils in Bowling Green history.  With more rain on the way, it will be interesting to see where this April ranks by the time the month is over.

On the topic of more rain, we may pick up a little more before today is over.  There is a continued chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms tonight and into tomorrow.  As shown in the graphic below, this rain is all associated with a cold front coming in from the west that will pass through our area early in the day tomorrow.

Forecasted surface conditions valid at 7:00AM CDT courtesy of the Weather Prediction Center.
After the heavy rain we saw at times today, some areas are already dealing with flooding issues.  As these periods of rain continue through tomorrow, please travel cautiously and never try to cross floodwaters.  We will get a break from the rain on Tuesday, but rain chances return midweek as another cold front works its way toward our area.

Due to these cold fronts, temperatures the rest of this week will be running just slightly below normal.  Highs are expected to be in the mid to upper 60s with lows in the mid to upper 40s most of this week.  Right now, the second half of the week looks rather similar to the pattern we will see over the next couple of days.  Mostly cloudy skies, temperatures in the 60s, and spotty showers just seems to be the trend for this week.

Forecast:

Tonight:  Mostly cloudy skies, a 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms, lows near 59°, and winds out of the SSW at around 8-12 mph.

Tomorrow:  Mostly cloudy skies, a 40% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms, highs near 66°, overnight lows near 45°, and winds out of the west at around 10-15 mph during the day becoming more calm a night.

Tuesday:  Mostly sunny skies, a 20% chance of PM showers, highs near 68°, overnight lows near 48°, and winds out of the west at around 6-12 mph.

Wednesday:  Mostly cloudy skies, a 30% chance of showers, highs near 68°, overnight lows near 45°, and winds out of the west at around 6-12 mph.


Forecaster: Arden Gregory

Friday, April 17, 2015

Brief Break from the Rainy Weather

Discussion:

As we get set to wrap up the work week this afternoon, we can expect a break from the rainy weather over the next 24 hours. Temperatures have reached the 70s this afternoon under mostly cloudy skies and we can expect clouds to decrease this evening as a weak area of surface high pressure builds over the Ohio Valley. Temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 50s under partly cloudy skies tonight
Tomorrow will be a great day for any outdoor plans as the weather will stay dry over southern Kentucky with high temperatures reaching the upper 70s. Unfortunately, our spout of dry weather will be short lived as rain chances enter the forecast once again on Saturday night. Expect clouds to increase tomorrow evening with scattered showers and thunderstorms increasing in coverage overnight in response to a developing area of low pressure to our southwest.
 
Things will really begin to get interesting on Sunday as an upper-level trough will be situated just to our west. Ahead of this trough, an area of low pressure will move from near Memphis to Chicago on Sunday. As this low moves just west of our area, expect heavy rain with embedded thunderstorms on Sunday. A few storms could be strong to severe with damaging winds and hail. The SPC has placed Bowling Green in a slight risk for severe storms on Sunday.
Screenshot 2015-04-17 11.54.44
Day 3 Outlook (Courtesy: SPC)
Showers and storms will continue overnight before a cold front sweeps across the state early on Monday. We will have to watch out for more flooding issues on Sunday as rainfall totals of 1" are possible with locally heavier amounts possible.
 
Forecast:
 
Today, 4/17 - Mostly Cloudy - High 74˚ / Tonight - Partly Cloudy - Low 56˚
 
Saturday, 4/18 – Partly Cloudy – High 79˚ / Saturday Night – Showers and Storms Late – Low 61˚
 
Sunday, 4/19 – Showers & Strong Storms – High 77˚ / Sunday Night – Sct'd Showers & Thunderstorms – Low 62˚
 
Forecaster: Zack Leasor