Sunday, August 31, 2014

More Rain on the Way

Bowling Green has already broken the August rainfall record and we still have more rain on the way for today! Bowling Green's rain total for the month is 10.25 inches, with 1.9 inches falling over the past 24 hours. Here is a look at the monthly and yearly rainfall accumulation maps to show where south central Kentucky stands compared to normal.
These first two maps show the total monthly rainfall across the state and the departure from normal.

Month_to_date_Rainfall
Departure_from_Normal

The next two maps show the yearly rainfall and the departure from normal for the year.

Year_to_date_Rainfall
Year_to_date_Departure

Even with all the rain in Bowling Green a moderate drought continues across portions of the region. Far western Warren County stretching across much of western Kentucky have seen below average rainfall for the past few months. Thankfully, the slow and steady rainfall last night and this morning will help dampen the drought a bit across the area.

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Today's Forecast
The morning and early afternoon will be mainly wet. By mid afternoon the bulk of the rain looks to move out of the area. The simulated reflectivity from the HRRR shows some pockets of heavier rain trying to push through around lunch before finally moving out later this afternoon.

lunch
dinner

The clouds and rain will help keep it cooler across the region today with high temperatures topping out around 81 degrees.

Weekly Forecast
Temperature will remain seasonable, topping out in the upper 80's to near 90 each day. Summer showers and storms are also possible each day this week with the best chance coming on Tuesday. No day will be a washout, but some storms will bring heavy rain to areas. The 7 day rainfall forecast from the WPC shows an additional 1 - 2 inches of rain is possible this week.

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7 Day Forecast
Today: Occasional showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 3pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. High near 81. Southwest wind 9 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. South wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Labor Day: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Southwest wind 7 to 13 mph.

Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. South wind 5 to 8 mph.

Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 88. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Tuesday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70.

Wednesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 87.

Wednesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70.

Thursday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90.

Thursday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71.

Friday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 91.

Friday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70.

Saturday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 91.

Monday, August 25, 2014

Summer Time Heat and Humidity

Discussion
Current temperature in Bowling Green is 87 degrees with a 69 degree dewpoint making our afternoon extremely muggy. A few pop-up storms impacted the county earlier, with a few lingering around the northwest part of the county.

Unfortunately, if you hate the heat and humidity, the next three days look to be pretty similar. An upper level ridge will keep the temperatures uncomfortable and muggy for the next three days. A chance for scattered thunderstorms will remain in the forecast through Wednesday. Much like today though, many places will not see any precipitation.

Valid 12z NAM model hilighting the ridging pattern taking place over the region in the next few days.

Forecast at a Glance
 Tuesday: High 91 with a low of 68. A 20% chance of an isolated storm remains in place. Winds will remain calm with scattered clouds developing in the afternoon.

Wednesday: High 92 with a low of 70. A 20% chance of an isolated storm. Winds will be calm with a few clouds throughout the day.

Thursday: High 91 with a low of 70. Slight chance of a pop-up storm. Mostly clear skies throughout the day.

Forecaster: Brian Urbancic