Friday, August 23, 2013

Weekend Will Be Sunny & Warm

Daily Forecasts: 

Friday Night: Clear skies with light north to northeasterly winds. Low around 64. Some patchy fog is possible in the morning.

Saturday: Sunny skies and warm with a high near 90. Northeast winds from 5-10 mph.

Saturday Night: Clear skies with a low near 63. Light to calm winds with patchy fog again possible.

Sunday: Mostly sunny skies with a 10% chance of an isolated thunderstorm in the afternoon. Still warm with a high around 89. South to southwest winds at 4-8 mph.

Sunday Night: Clear skies and a low near 68. Light south to southwesterly winds.

Monday: Mostly sunny skies with a high around 90. 10% chance of an isolated thunderstorm in the afternoon.

Discussion: Summer has made a come back during the later half of this week and that trend looks to continue into the weekend. After an extended time of unseasonably cool temperatures, the temperature has warmed back up to the upper 80s; 89 is the average high this time of year. A very weak cold front has slid through the Commonwealth today which sparked off a few showers and thunderstorms, predominately over southern and western parts of the state. A few storms pulsed up and briefly became severe, one of which happened to be over parts of Warren County. There were several reports of pea to quarter sized hail mainly confined to south side of Bowling Green along Scottsville Road down to I-65. The image below was hail sent in by Andrew Schuler which fell at Sam's Club near the intersection of Scottsville Road and I-65. The storm also dumped some heavy rain with over 1.5" of rain falling at the Warren Co mesonet site.
This photo was captured near the intersection of Scottsville Road and I-65 (Sam's club) this afternoon during a severe thunderstorm. Photo courtesy of Andrew Schuler.
Now with the cold front past, the threat of scattered thunderstorms has come to an end and the chance for more thunderstorms will be very low the next couple of days. We'll generally have mostly sunny to sunny skies through the weekend. Only a very slight (10%) chance for an isolated thunderstorm in the heat of the day will exist during the afternoon hours. Some patchy fog will be possible during the morning hours. While the cold front did bring lowered rain chances and some drier air, it didn't bring cooler air so take the name "cold front" with a grain of salt. Temperatures won't cool at all during the next couple of days but rather they will continue to be warm with highs around 90. Our calm and warm weather will be thanks to a high pressure system in control of weather over the Ohio Valley and into the mid-south. The area of high pressure will stick around into much of next week with our next real weather maker not forecast to impact the area until mid-week. Temperatures will remain warm into mid-week with highs generally in the low 90s.

This is a modeled (NAM) forecast temperatures for Saturday afternoon. Despite the "cold" front temperatures will still be around 90 for afternoon highs through the weekend into early next week.
Forecaster: Ryan Difani

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