Sunday, June 9, 2013

Stormy Start to the Week

Discussion: Scattered thunderstorms continue to move over Southern Kentucky this evening, with the strongest convection occurring to our west in an area outlined by a severe thunderstorm watch. This shower and storm activity will weaken as it slides east overnight with scattered showers and thunderstorms continuing into the early morning hours. Weakening instability should keep these storms below severe threshold, but gusty winds and lightning are possible with these storms. As a cold front approaches the area tomorrow, more storms are on tap as the temperature climbs to around 80 degrees. A mid-level jet max over southerm Kentucky will allow storms to become strong to possibly severe on Monday afternoon. The SPC has placed  Warren County in a slight risk for tomorrow with the main threat being damaging winds and hail, but will hold off on upgrading to alert status until the morning as overnight convection and cloud cover Monday morning could stabilize the atmosphere and limit the severe threat. Showers and thunderstorms will come to an end Monday night with lows in the lower to mid 60s. An upper level ridge will move into the area by Tuesday allowing for clear skies and much warmer temperatures to dominate the forecast into Wednesday. Highs on Wednesday will approach 90 degrees. There is a slight chance of thunderstorms again on Wednesday night.

Current SPC Day 2 Outlook for Monday outlining Warren County in a slight risk area.

Days at a Glance:
Monday: High - 80 Low - 62 Winds - SW at 5-10 mph becoming calm overnight.
Precipitation - 70%  Scattered thunderstorms, some possibly strong to severe, especially in afternoon/evening. Storms will end into Monday night Otherwise, expect mostly cloudy skies during the day, with clearing skies overnight.

Tuesday: High - 86 Low - 70 Winds SW at 5-10 mph becoming calm overnight.
Precipitation - 0% Skies- Mostly Sunny

Wednesday: High - 90 Low - 74 Winds SW at 4-8 mph becoming calm overnight.
Precipitation: 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms Wednesday night otherwise expect mostly clear skies, especially during the day.

Forecaster: Zack Leasor

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