Chance of Storms Brings an End to Warm Temperatures

Discussion:

Temperatures in Warren County reached 94 today this afternoon as an upper level ridge made its way over the area from the southwest. Winds from the southwest at 10-15 mph  will continue to usher in warmer temperatures tonight as the low temperature will only dip to around 75 degrees. A threat for storms exist late tonight as a dangerous cluster of storms over northern Illinois and northern Indiana will weaken as they move southeast. The Storm Prediction Center has placed Warren County on the edge of the slight risk for severe weather tonight as this weakening MCS moves into southern Kentucky. The main threats with these storms will be damaging winds and hail. Heavy rain is not too much of a concern as model guidance indicates precipitation totals around a tenth to a quarter of an inch with higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. The chance for severe weather will depend on how far south this complex of storms can hold itself together. Any strong storms associated with this complex would be isolated in nature. Due to low confidence in severe weather late tonight and early Thursday, have decided to hold off on going on alert status and will monitor the situation closely. These showers and storms should move over the area later tonight after 1 A.M. A cold front will move across the area Thursday morning possibly causing a few showers to pop up in the morning as well

Day 1 SPC Outlook showing Warren County on the edge of the slight risk area.

. Behind the front, a northwesterly flow will keep temperatures cooler as the high on Thursday will top out around 85 degrees with clearing skies. Thursday night will be cool with a low in the lower 60s. As high pressure moves in from the northwest a nice weekend will shape up. Friday and Saturday will feature sunny skies and high temperatures in the lower to mid 80s with lows in the 60s. On Sunday the temperature will near 90 again with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Days at a Glance:

Wednesday Night: Low - 75 Winds - SW 10 to 15 mph.
Precipitation: 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. A strong storm containing damaging winds or hail cannot be ruled out. Precipitation totals - 0.1" to 0.25".

Thursday - High - 83 Low - 63 Winds - SW wind around 10 mph becoming north on Thursday night.
Precipitation - 20% chance of a shower or thunderstorm before noon with skies becoming clear during the day and into Thursday night

Friday - High - 82 Low - 61 Winds - Calm wind becoming a north wind around 5 mph Friday night.
Precipitation - 0% Skies - Clear

Saturday - High - 86 Low - 68 Winds - South wind around 5 mph becoming calm overnight.
Precipitation - 0% Skies - Mostly Sunny

Sunday - High - 90 Low - 71 Winds - SW 5-8 mph
Precipitation - 20% of thunderstorms late Sunday Skies - Partly Cloudy

Forecaster: Zack Leasor