Sunday, June 16, 2013

Chance for rain, a few storms arrives for Monday...

As we begin to wrap up another weekend and Father's day, we did see a couple waves of isolated showers/storms move through the state temporarily postponing any of those outdoor festivities for Father's Day. Storms that developed brought heavy downpours, gusty winds, and some lightning as the main threats before quickly pushing eastward this evening. Storms will continue to weaken out tonight as a pause in the action sets in before our next system arrives on the doorstep by tomorrow. A cold front currently located from Lake Erie to St. Louis  is expected to slide southeastward tonight into southern portions of Indiana by early tomorrow morning. Expect increasing clouds through the overnight hours with mild overnight lows in the upper 60's, low 70's.  Fog is expected to develop in wake of the recent rainfall and could be dense in those low lying fog prone locations while reducing visibility.

HPC/NOAA QPF Precipitation Forecast Valid for Monday 00Z - Wednesday 00Z. 

As anticipated, showers and storms will begin to develop across the region as the front slides through the Commonwealth Tuesday morning. Development for stronger storms will lye across southern parts of Kentucky as more moisture and instability will exist. Rain should become more widespread by tomorrow evening while pushing northward as the disturbance tracks through the Ohio Valley. Pop-up showers and a few storms will be likely Tuesday across south-central KY extending towards the Bluegrass region. The HPC/NOAA precipitation forecast continues to hint towards a moderate rainfall event, especially across southern and southeastern portions of the state. Model guidance continues to show highs running in the upper 80's, but increased cloud cover will hinder those high temperatures a bit as mid 80's will be more realistic with tomorrow's conditions.


A look ahead:

Monday Night: Showers and storms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low near 68º. Chance of precipitation: 60%. Rainfall amounts between a 0.50 - 0.75'' inches possible.

Tuesday: Cloudy, with a high near 83º. Showers and thunderstorms possible before noon. Chance of rain: 40%.  Gradually clearing skies expected by the afternoon hours. Northwest winds 5-10 mph.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy skies. Low: 65º. Calm winds.

Wednesday: Mostly Sunny. High: 86º.

Wednesday Night: Partly Cloudy. Low: 66º.

Forecaster: Chris Johnson

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