Thursday, July 26, 2012

Potential for Severe Storms Tonight... and A Sunny Weekend

Friday Morning Update...
(10:05 am)
The storms that moved through yesterday evening didn't pack much of a punch as they moved into Warren Co. but they did bring some light rain.  Thunderstorm chances exist once again today (and thus the update) because the cold front that sparked yesterday's storms has yet to make it through the state.  A slight risk for severe thunderstorms has been outlined across much of north central KY, however it does not include Warren Co. at this time.  Nevertheless, this area might be extended in future outlooks later today as there is about a 30% chance of storms for us in Warren Co. this evening.  If any storms do impact us, the main threats will be high winds and some hail.
A slight risk of severe storms has been outlined by the Storm Prediction Center  for much
of north-central KY.  The slight risk comes very close to, but does NOT include Warren Co.
Otherwise expect a partly cloudy day and another warm one, though slightly cooler comparatively, with a high near 93.  If watches or warnings are posted for Warren Co. updates will be posted to our facebook and twitter pages.
The weather in Warren County has once again been very hot during the first half of the week.  Yesterday’s high was just short of the century mark at the Bowling Green/Warren County airport at 99, while the heat index topped out at 109.  Today will be another hot one as highs will top out near 98, with heat indices once againt reaching the 105-110 range; a heat advisory is in effect through this afternoon.  However, slightly cooler temperatures are on their way for the coming days as a cold front is expected to move through Kentucky overnight.  The cold front comes with decent rain chances also; however rain may come in the form of severe storms late this afternoon and evening.

Today's forecast via NOAA/HPC.  Note the advancing cold front that
will be responsible for providing lift in an ustable airmass, thus creating storms.
Warm temperatures and very moist air ahead of the advancing cold front will create an unstable environment and thus the potential for severe thunderstorms.  The Storm Prediction Center has placed Warren Co. at the southern extent of the slight risk of severe weather.  The storms should impact Warren Co. after 5 pm with the primary risk being high winds.
Storm Prediction Center has outlined Warren Co. in a
Slight Risk for Severe Storms within the 15% high wind area.
There are indications that rain may continue for several hours as the precipitation stalls near south-central Kentucky and thus the potential for flash flooding will also need to be monitored into the evening hours.  Beyond this evening’s chance for storms, mostly sunny skies should dominate the weather this weekend.  Temperatures will be cooler especially after Friday as winds turn from the northwest and north Saturday and Sunday.

Keep up to date on severe weather watches and warnings by liking our Facebook page or following us on Twitter.

Thursday: Slight Risk for Severe Weather.  Head Advisory in effect.  Mostly sunny skies before increasing clouds and a 70% chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon and into the overnight.  The primary risk with any severe storms will be high winds.  High near 98 with heat indices reaching the 105-110 range.  Breezy with southwest winds from 12-18 mph.
Friday: Mostly Cloudy skies will become partly cloudy with a 30% chance of thunderstorms.  Low near 74 with a high around 92.  West winds from 6-12 mph.
Saturday: Sunny skies with a low around 70 and a high near 92.
Sunday: Mostly sunny with a low near 68 and a high near 90.
Forecaster: Ryan Difani

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