It looks as though today will be a couple of degrees warmer than first expected and with the numbers leaning toward more dangerous heat an update seemed warranted. Indications seem as though Bowling Green will likely reach a high near 100 today and with very muggy air, heat indices will likely reach the 105-110 range today. With that said Warren Co. is under a Heat Advisory until 8 p.m. Be cautious in the heat today.
Full blog update tomorrow morning on rain chances and even the risk for severe storms.
Tuesday Afternoon Update...
Severe weather is possible this afternoon and the Storm Prediction Center has placed Warren County within the southern extent of the slight risk area for thunderstorms in the latest Day 1 outlook. Furthermore the SPC has also issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch in effect until 10 p.m.
|A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for Warren County until 10 p.m.|
|SPC mesoanalysis (21Z) shows that the outflow boundary is moving into an unstable air mass.|
Mixed-Layer CAPE values are in near 3500 J/kg surrounding Warren County.
Since the storms moved through bringing heavy rain and high winds last Thursday, the weather has been fairly quite in Warren County. Temperatures cooled somewhat with the high not even reaching the 90 degree mark on Saturday. Don’t expect that to last however as the hot summer time ridge will once again be in control of our weather pattern this week which will leave south-central Kentucky hot and for the most part dry.
|NAM surface forecast temperatures/pressure heights|
for 21Z (4 pm) Wednesday. (Source: twisterdata.com)
Monday: Mostly sunny skies with hot temperatures and a high near 96. Heat indices may reach 100-105. Southwest winds from 8-14 mph.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with a low around 75 and continued heat with a high around 98. Heat indices may reach 100-105. West wind from 8-14 mph.
Wednesday: Mostly Sunny with a morning low near 75 and an afternoon high around 98. Heat indices may reach 100-105. 20% of an isolated thunderstorm. West-southwest winds from 9-15 mph.
Thursday: 30% chance of thunderstorms. Partly cloudy skies with a morning low around 74 and a high near 97. Heat indices may reach 100-105.
Forecaster: Ryan Difani