The SPC has issued their convective outlook for today showing a slight risk just north of the state. A stronger disturbance to our north continues to drive a MCS (Mesoscale Convective System) across parts of Michigan and Wisconsin. These storms will continue to dive South and East through the next 24-36 hours and by doing so will affect northern parts of the state. The outflow of these storms are expected to move into our unstable region as CAPE across the state continues to show steady values ranging from 1000 - 1500 J/Kg. This will allow for shower and storm development to occur across northwestern parts of Kentucky with expected movement across the south and east.
The SPC has outlined the area just North of the state with a slight risk of severe storms.
The area does include parts of Louisville while extending into and affecting some of the
northern KY counties as well.
The NOAA/HPC Tuesday Outlook.
For Bowling Green expect mostly sunny conditions with scorching temperatures. Highs are expected to reach the mid 90's with heat indices around 100 degrees. Heading into the afternoon and evening hours, expect any storms affecting parts northern Kentucky to push southeastward into the area. A few storms could be strong to severe with gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall. Lows tonight will drop right around 70 degrees under partly cloudy skies. The slight chance for storms will stick around into the overnight hours for the area with clearing skies expected by Wednesday morning.
- Wednesday will be another hot one with temperatures topping out in the mid 90's. Sunny and humid conditions will prevail with heat indices expected around the century mark once again. Light and variable winds are expected with winds becoming Northwest around 5-10 mph.
- Wednesday night will be mild with lows around 72 degrees. Look for mostly clear conditions accompanied by light winds from the North around 5 mph.
- The heat will continue into Thursday, with highs around 98 degrees for the area. Hot temperatures with calm winds expected should make for another scorcher.
- Thursday night lows will drop to around 70 degrees under partly cloudy skies. We'll bring the chance for isolated showers and storms back into the area as we'll begin to turn our attention towards the next system moving in by Friday.
Forecaster: Chris Johnson