Monday, January 25, 2016

Is a Warm Up Finally in Store?

Current Discussion: Good afternoon! After Bowling Green continues to dig out after the 3rd largest single-day snowstorm in the history of record keeping for the city, it is safe to say a slight warming trend will continue through this week giving all the ice and snow a chance to finally melt.

Today: For this afternoon and into the evening hours expect some thicker cloud cover move into the area associated with a low-pressure system currently stationed near Kansas City putting us on the warm side of the system. This will create southerly winds, causing overall high temperatures to rebound into the mid 40's. With that being said, the moisture being advected in from the Gulf of Mexico could pop up a few scattered showers later this afternoon and especially into the evening hours. It is not looking like a huge rain maker as the NAM suggests QPF's of less than a tenth of an inch for the entire region while the ole GFS keeps the heaviest rainfall amounts to the south of us.

Current surface map. Source: The Weather Channel

12z NAM base reflectivity this afternoon showing some scattered showers in the area just ahead of the cold front. Source: COD

Tonight: The cold front that is also associated with the low-pressure will swing through the area later tonight, bringing higher chances for rain around midnight. Models are currently in agreement that low temperatures will stay in the upper 30's, so no winter weather is expected.

Tomorrow: As the Cold front exits the region early tomorrow, temperatures will again fall once more with a stiff west wind changing to a more northerly wind throughout the day. Expect some lingering sprinkles tomorrow afternoon before temps crash into the mid to low 30's. If there is enough moisture left over, I think some remaining flurries could be squeezed out late tomorrow afternoon. No travel problems are expected.

Full Forecast:

Isolated showers after 5pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 46. South wind 9 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Showers likely, mainly between 11pm and 4am. Cloudy, with a low around 37. South wind 7 to 13 mph becoming west after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
A slight chance of rain showers before noon, then scattered sprinkles between noon and 5pm, then scattered sprinkles and flurries after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42. West wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%
Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. North wind around 6 mph
Mostly sunny, with a high near 37. North wind 6 to 8 mph
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 23
Mostly sunny, with a high near 43
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 30
Mostly sunny, with a high near 47
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 35
Sunny, with a high near 59
Saturday Night
A 10 percent chance of rain. Partly cloudy, with a low around 45
A 30 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56.

Have a great Monday! 

Forecaster: Alex Antoshak

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