Monday, March 2, 2015

Rain & Wintry Weather to Affect Southern Kentucky


Good afternoon, we are currently seeing some calm weather behind yesterday's storm that brought rainfall to southern Kentucky. A combination of weak upper-level ridging and surface high pressure will make for a relatively beautiful day today with high temperatures reaching the lower 40s  under partly cloudy skies. Clouds will begin to increase overnight as an area of low pressure to our west begins to move east. A few rain showers can't be ruled out before sunrise with temperatures remaining above freezing.

A significant rainfall event will begin tomorrow as surface low pressure moves from eastern Kansas into the Great Lakes region. Ahead of this low, expect breezy conditions as winds turn to the south and help to push warm and moist air into the region. Despite cloudy skies, we will make a run at 60° by tomorrow afternoon. Scattered rain showers in the morning will give way to more widespread rainfall tomorrow evening. Heavy rain is expected tomorrow night as a cold front will move across the state with a few rumbles of thunder possible. Flooding will be a concern as around 2" of rainfall is expected to fall tomorrow. As a result, the WPC has placed our area in a slight risk for excessive rainfall tomorrow.
Day 2 Excessive Rainfall Outlook valid for 3/3/15 (Courtesy:WPC)
Expect things to get very interesting on Wednesday as temperatures slowly fall behind the cold front. Another weak area of low pressure will run along the Appalachian Mountains during this time frame keeping precipitation in the region. Rain will be steady throughout the day with another 0.5-1" of rainfall expected. Current indications suggest that rain will change to a mix of sleet and snow Wednesday evening before switching to all snow overnight. At this time, it is to soon to pinpoint accumulations but it is becoming increasingly likely that southern Kentucky will see accumulating snowfall Wednesday night. The WPC has placed portions of Kentucky, including Bowling Green, in a high risk for at least 4" of snow on Wednesday and Wednesday night. Stay tuned for the latest forecast as the dynamic nature of this system means that there could be frequent changes to the forecast over the next day or two.
Day 3 Probability of  >4" of Snowfall valid on 3/4/15 (Courtesy: WPC)


Monday 3/2 - High: 42° Low: 36° Winds: N at 5-10 mph becoming easterly overnight.
Precipitation: Stray rain shower possible overnight.
Skies: Partly Cloudy becoming Cloudy overnight.

Tuesday 3/3 - High: 61° Low: 40 Winds: S at 10-20 mph becoming W at 5-15 mph overnight.
Precipitation: Scattered showers before noon, becoming a steady rain during the afternoon. Heavy rain is expected overnight with daily rainfall amounts of around 2".
Skies: Cloudy

Wednesday 3/4 - High: 40° Low: 18° Winds: NW at 5-10 mph.
Precipitation: Rain likely throughout the day with rain changing to a mix of snow and sleet Wednesday night. Additional rainfall totals up to 1". Snow and sleet accumulations likely.
Skies: Cloudy

Forecaster: Zack Leasor

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