Sunday, July 13, 2014

Severe Weather Potential Leads to a Pleasant Week

Week at a Glance:
Monday: Showers and Thunderstorms are likely after 7AM. A high near 88° under mostly cloudy skies. Chance of rainfall 60%. Rainfall totals expected 1/4"-1/2" rain.
Monday Night: 40 % chance of showers and thunderstorms for the evening. Low near 67°. Wind 5-7 mph out of the west.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy until the front passes then clear skies. High around 78° with winds out of the NW 8-10 mph.
Tuesday Night: Overnight low of 56° with a light wind out of the north.
Wednesday: High of 78° under sunny skies.
Wednesday Night: Low of 59° under mostly clear skies.
Thursday: High around 80° under mostly clear skies.



Discussion:
A cold front is draped across the Ohio River Valley that will begin to make its way south as Monday progresses. As this front makes it way south towards Bowling Green, a line of storms will form along it during the early morning hours. The Storm Prediction Center(SPC) has placed southern Kentucky and all of Tennessee in a slight risk for severe weather for Monday afternoon. This line of storms has the possibility to produce several severe storms with the main threats being strong winds and small hail. The severe potential will be greatly increased if the cloud cover during the day can break and allow the sun to heat the surface. If this happens, it could provide the lift that the atmosphere needs to create stronger storms and more rain that afternoon. The chance for severe weather and rain will end Monday evening as an unseasonably strong cold front begins to push through the area removing the excess moisture from the air. It will be through Bowling Green Monday night into Tuesday morning bringing with it cooler temperatures and dew points. Monday's high will be in the mid to upper 88, while Tuesday's high will be 78 with a low Tuesday night of 55. With the passing of the cold front, a high pressure system will set in for the next several days bringing cooler temperatures around 80° and sunny skies.

Forecaster: John Logan Thomas

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