Severe Weather Possible Tuesday

Discussion:

Good morning, we’ve seen a few stray showers over the past few hours that have now moved east out of our area. The weather will be quiet the rest of the morning and temperatures will start rising as we are on our way to seeing a hot and muggy day. Our high temperature today will be around 90 degrees, but dew points in the 70s will make it feel like it is in the mid to upper 90s. Be sure to stay cool today. This heat will help to spark some isolated thunderstorms across the area this afternoon. These thunderstorms will be hit or miss, but if you get caught under one of these pop-up storms watch out for some heavy downpours and lightning. Storms will die off quickly this evening and overnight we will see temps fall into the lower 70s with partly cloudy skies.

 

Tuesday looks to be pretty interesting as a weak cold front attempts to cross the state. Ahead of the front, it will be another hot and muggy day as temperatures reach into the lower 90s with heat indices around 100 degrees. The front will help to spark some isolated thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon and evening. These storms will have lots of instability to work with in this warm air mass, but the best wind shear will be just to our north. Regardless, some of these storms could be severe with the main threats being damaging winds and hail, in addition to heavy rain and lightning.

The SPC has placed our area in a slight (enhanced) risk for severe weather tomorrow. By tomorrow night, isolated storms will continue across the area but these storms should begin to weaken after midnight.

 

SPC Day 2 Convective Outlook (NOAA)

It looks like the cold front will stall out somewhere across the state on Wednesday which will keep storm chances in our area. The severe threat will push to the east as we will be in a much drier air mass. The front won’t do much as far as cooling us off as highs on Wednesday will be in the upper 80s to around 90 degrees, but dew points will be lower which will make it feel much more comfortable.Isolated thunderstorms are still a possibility Wednesday night as we will be underneath an upper level trough behind the front. Otherwise, expect partly cloudy skies with lows in the upper 60s.

 

Forecast:

 

Monday: High - 90 Low - 73 Winds - SW at 5-10 mph.

Chance of Precipitation: 20% Chance of Thunderstorms.

Skies: Partly Cloudy.

 

Tuesday: High - 93 Low - 73 Winds - W at 5-15 mph.

Chance of Precipitation: 30% Chance of Thunderstorms. A few storms could be severe.

Skies: Partly Cloudy.

 

Wednesday: High - 89 Low - 68 Winds - W at 5-10 mph.

Chance of Precipitation: 30% of Showers and Thunderstorms.

Skies: Partly Cloudy.

 

Forecaster: Zack Leasor