Severe Storms Possible Overnight

Discussion:

 

Currently, an area of surface low pressure is situated over the southern plains with a warm front draped to our north and cold front to our west. This places all of Kentucky in the warm sector of the low and as a result temperatures will reach the 70s once again with southerly winds of 10-20 mph. Scattered thunderstorms and showers are possible this afternoon, but our biggest threat of severe weather comes tonight with the passage of the cold front to our west. Later today, a line of storms looks to develop to our west along the cold front and begin pushing east across Kentucky tonight. 

Here is the SPC’s latest convective outlook for today. Our area is outlined in a slight risk for severe storms tonight.

SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook (Courtesy: NOAA)

 

The main concern with these storms is the potential to see some damaging winds and hail as the line passes. An isolated tornado can’t be ruled out along the leading edge of the line, but as of right now the tornado threat looks pretty low. At this time it looks like we will see 0.5"-1" of rainfall today in addition to the rainfall we received last night. The timing of these storms looks very late and the line looks to impact us between midnight tonight and daybreak on Friday.

Any leftover showers and storms will quickly exit the region on Friday morning, and the rain should be over by noon. Skies will become partly cloudy as an area of surface high pressure moves in, but winds from the northwest will really get going by the afternoon with winds of 10-20mph possible. We will certainly feel the effects of that cold front by Friday night as low temperatures drop into the upper 30s.
 

Looking ahead into the weekend our weather looks quiet due to an area of high pressure sliding into the region. Unfortunately, temperatures will be cooler with high temperatures only around 60 degrees. Another area of low pressure will bring us our next chance of rain on Sunday night.

For more frequent updates during the day today, be sure to follow @WarrenCountyWX and @WxOrNotBG on Twitter.

 

 

Daily Forecasts:

Today: High - 76 Low - 60 Skies: Cloudy.
Winds: S at 10-20 mph. Precipitation: Scattered showers and thunderstorms during the day, with thunderstorms likely tonight. Some of these storms could be strong to severe. Total rainfall: 0.5"-1".

Friday: High - 68 Low - 39 Skies: Cloudy becoming Partly Cloudy.
Winds: W at 15-25 mph. Precipitation: Scattered showers and thunderstorms before noon.

Saturday: High - 57 Low - 38 Skies: Partly Cloudy
Winds: S at 5-15 mph.

Sunday: High - 65 Low - 50 Skies: Partly Cloudy becoming Cloudy.
Winds: SW at 5-10mph. Precipitation: Scattered showers and thunderstorms on Sunday night.

Forecaster: Zack Leasor