Sunday, February 16, 2014

Warmer Weather Brings Storm Chances

Warmer weather is the story this week. After a brutally cold January and first half of February, a well deserved warmup is on the way. With that being said, rain looks to accompany the warmth for at least a few days this week and there will even be a chance of thunderstorms as we get close to the end of the week.
Today will be one of the nicest days we have seen in a while, as temperatures will near 50 degrees with the sun shining bright. We will drop back below freezing tonight with a low of 28.

Rain will creep back into the region for your Monday afternoon. The time frame for precipitation looks to be between 12pm and 6pm. Between a quarter and a half inch of rain looks likely.

Even with the rain, Monday's temperatures will top out in the lower 50s. Tomorrow night will once again dip to around 32 degrees.

 If you are planning on heading outdoors, Tuesday and Wednesday may be the picks of the week with temperatures topping out in the middle to upper 50s and few clouds to abstract the wonderful sunshine. Thursday, however, may be a little on the stormy side. As spring time approaches and temperatures begin to warm back up, the chance for severe weather begins to increase, but all the right parameters need to show up to the ball game for us to actually get storms. Thursday, will likely have several of those parameters in play. Here's a breakdown of what we may see Thursday:


The Storm Prediction Center has Bowling Green in the far eastern section of the Day 5 severe storms watch. This purple outline merely highlights an area where severe storms have potential to form. This is by no means certain to happen, but needs to be watched over the coming days.
As it looks now a shortwave will head out of the Rockies on Wednesday and move eastward. Meanwhile, a surface low may develop over Oklahoma and head north eastward toward the shortwave. All the while a cold front will be working it's way through the Ohio valley region. That should create just enough instability to allow a line of storms to develop out ahead of the front. The main threat will be strong winds associated with the line of storms that develops. More information on the severe storm threat will be posted throughout the coming days.

Weekly Outlook:

This Afternoon: Mostly sunny, with a high near 44. North wind 6 to 8 mph. 
Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. North wind around 5 mph becoming light and variable. 

Monday: Showers, mainly before 5pm. High near 53. East wind 6 to 14 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. 
Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 31. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. 

Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 57. Light south wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. 
Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 39. 

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 56. 
Wednesday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. 

Thursday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a high near 65. Chance of precipitation is 70%. 
Thursday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 39. Chance of precipitation is 80%. 

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. 
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. 

Saturday: A 30 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 59.


Forecaster: Tyler Smith

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