Friday, January 10, 2014

More Rain on Deck

Quantitative precipitation forecast through Saturday morning.
Rain has been the story as of late across south-central Kentucky, with even some sleet and snow mixing in with yesterday's showers. While the surface was above freezing, the temperature profiles through the atmosphere allowed some frozen precipitation to fall. With the arrival of warmer air today, any precip that falls today will be strictly rain. Rain is especially likely this evening into tonight, with total rainfall up to an inch possible. High temperatures through the next few days will be 5-10 degrees above normal, with a chance of rain returning on Monday. As for tonight, we may see a little lightning as isolated thunderstorms are possible.

At this hour, a warm front is aligned with the Ohio River. It has been moving ever so slightly to the north, allowing warmer air from the Gulf to advect into our region. As a result, high temperatures into early next week will be in the 50s, much improved from where we were earlier this week! (It is interesting to note that we were in the 50s this time last year as well.) A disturbance is beginning to take shape over the Oklahoma panhandle, and will develop into a mid-latitude cyclone by the afternoon. This low will eject to the northeast as it matures, and should be centered over Wisconsin by tonight. The subsequent cold front, draped across the US from north to south, should impact our area after around midnight. This will bring a solid shield of rain with it, which may not clear until Saturday morning. Many areas in our region could pick up a half-inch to even an inch of rainfall.

High pressure is set to replace the departing low come Saturday night, meaning Sunday should be full of sunshine. No cold blast is expected to fill in the gap this time. High temperatures should remain in the 50s for another day or two, so get out there and enjoy the balmy weather!

Daily Forecasts:

Today: Cloudy with showers beginning this afternoon. High of 54°. Winds from the south at 5-10 mph.
Tonight: Rain likely through 5 AM, with tapering activity through sunrise. Low near 49°. Winds picking up from the south at 10-15 mph, with gusts to 20-25. Don't be surprised to hear a rumble of thunder!
Saturday: High around 50° under mostly cloudy skies. Blustery with west winds at 10-20 mph, gusting to 30.
Saturday night: Partly cloudy and cooler with a low of 32°. Winds from the west at 5-10 mph.
Sunday: A high near 52° under sunny skies. South winds at 10-15 mph.

Forecaster: Caleb Chevalier

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