Monday, July 22, 2013

Wet start to the Week

It has been a wet commute for many this morning as showers, some heavy at times, moved through Bowling Green this morning.  The temperature is 74 with winds SW at 10 mph and humidity is 94% as of 10:45 A.M.  Warren County has picked up 0.84 in. of rain since 12:00 A.M. this morning according to the Mesonet station in Bowling Green.  A slow moving shortwave trough is located over northern Kentucky and southern Indiana and Ohio.  The shortwave trough is causing enhanced lift over our area allowing for the formation of the showers this morning.  At the surface, the surface low is located over Illinois with a stationary front stretching from Minnesota over to the east coast.  Since the humidity is still relatively high, more shower development is possible today which means driving conditions could become treacherous. 

Visible Satellite with fronts valid for 11:13 A.M. on Monday, July 22, 2013.

Showers will continue to move off to the east this morning and allow for clearing conditions to occur.  Winds will remain out of the south over the next few days bringing with it warm Gulf of Mexico moist air allowing for occasional pop-up showers to occur as afternoon heating occurs.  Shear will be weak as the storms occur so the only threat will be moderate to heavy rainfall and cloud-ground lightning.  The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk for tomorrow due to the saturated air coming in from the Gulf which could prompt storms to fire tomorrow afternoon.  A few of these storms could become severe.  Models are currently indicating a cold front moving through Wednesday evening which will bring cooler, less humid conditions for the weekend.  More on this as time progresses.  The high for today is expected to be 84 and the low tonight will be 71.

Slight Risk for Day 2 issued on July 22, 2013, at 12:30 P.M. CDT

Monday:  High- 84  Low- 71  rain will continue to move off to the east allowing for clear skies to occur in the afternoon. 

Tuesday:  High- 92  Low- 71  winds south at 11 mph.  Mostly sunny skies becoming cloudy later in the day as afternoon heating occurs.  Scattered thunderstorms possible after 5:00 P.M.  Chance of rain 30%. 

Wednesday:  High- 84  Low- 67 winds south at 5 mph becoming north later in the day at 11 mph as a front moves through.  Rain chances increase after midnight as the front moves closer.  Chance of rain is 60%. 

Forecaster:  Tyler Binkley         


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