Quiet Weather to Start the Week

Days at a Glance:
Monday: High - 80  Low - 57  Precipitation - 0%  Winds - N at 6 mph  Skies - mostly cloudy clearing throughout the day

Tuesday: High - 84  Low - 56  Precipitation - 0%  Winds - N switching to ESE at 6 mph  Skies - clear with clouds increasing into the evening and overnight hours

Wednesday: High - 85  Low - 62  Precipitation - 60% scattered showers into the evening  Winds - SSE at 6 mph  Skies - mostly cloudy becoming overcast into the afternoon and evening

Discussion:
As the lingering clouds clear out of the area tonight into tomorrow morning, sunny skies and warming temperatures will prevail before a subtle but tricky disturbance enters the area on Wednesday. Models are not in complete agreement on the timing or amounts but offer potential rainfall accumulations between .25 and .50 of an inch from Wednesday evening into Thursday before midday. This is associated with a weakening cold front that will become stationary over the area Wednesday into Thursday. This will offer nice surface convergence despite insignificant support aloft for increasing surface moisture from the Gulf of Mexico.

NAM 06/06 03Z (10 pm Wednesday night) Composite Reflectivity. Notice the precipitation along the frontal boundary spanning from northern Kentucky SW over our area into northern Louisiana.

As a result, scattered light to moderate showers as seen in the image above will be the main concern since minimal wind shear will prevent significant storm organization. 

Forecaster: Austin Boys