Saturday, August 4, 2012

     The weekend kicked off on a soggy note as early morning showers and storms move through parts of the state.  Dew points in the low to mid 70's caused unfavorable conditions temperature wise across the Bluegrass.  Highs topped out at 91 degrees across Bowling Green with humid conditions to go along with those hot temperatures. Heat indices across Bowling Green hit an uncomfortable 103 degrees by early afternoon as other counties across the area flirted with the century mark. By mid-afternoon, a weak line of storms developed across parts of Southwestern KY and tracked eastward through the area. Temperatures took a nose dive from 91to 78 degrees once the cloud cover and storms moved in.  The weak line of storms continued its eastwardly track but weakened through its travel.  Gusty conditions followed by a brief light rain, and a few rumbles of thunder was the extent of these storms.  Although the rain moved through, the clouds did not. Overcast conditions look to stick around through the evening and overnight hours and into your Sunday.  Lows will be mild as temperatures drop to a warm, but muggy 75 degrees.

     Heading into Sunday, things begin to look stormy across the region.  A cold front situated over the Northern Central Plains looks to track through the region by Sunday afternoon.  The SPC's latest map issued continuing to show a slight risk for severe storms the ENTIRE state. Dew points across the state will remain in the low 70's with an abundant amount of atmospheric moisture available to work with and in return will help trigger the development of these storms.  CAPE continues to show steady values across the area between 1500-2000 J/Kg for Sunday. Widespread showers and storms should prevail into the late morning, early afternoon hours.


The NOAA/HPC Forecast outlook for Sunday.  The cold front extending 
down from the Great Lakes into the Mississippi Valley will track through the 
Commonwealth from North to South bringing a slight chance for severe weather. 



SPC Categorical Outlook for Sunday showing a slight risk for 
severe storms over the entire state of Kentucky while extending well into 
the New England region. 



     Many areas continue to fight drought conditions especially parts of Western Kentucky.  The HPC map gives the idea that the system moving through Sunday will produce a decent shot at some rainfall. Much of the state is showing 0.75 - 1.50 inches of rain with the heaviest stemming in parts of Eastern KY.




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Quick Outlook:

- Sunday night the system should be exiting to our east as showers and storms are expected to come to an end. Low 72, under partly cloudy skies with light winds from the Southwest around 5-10 mph.

- Monday looks much better as conditions begin to dry out a bit. Expect clearing skies and sunny conditions with a high around 87 degrees.  Light winds from the Northeast around 5 mph.

- Monday night expect partly cloudy conditions with lows dropping around our average at 66 degrees.

- Tuesday we'll see mostly sunny skies with a high of 89 degrees. Mostly clear skies should continue into Tuesday evening and overnight with lows around 69 degrees.


Forecaster: Chris Johnson




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