Tuesday, February 17, 2015

Bowling Green Post Winter Storm

The current snow depth across much of the state is impressive to say the least! Bowling Green saw one of its largest snow events in a single day. Depending on the official snow depth, the 10 inches of snow that fell yesterday would be the largest since the 1960's. 
Here is a look at the U.S snow cover. 

That much snow has a big impact on temperatures! Here is what the temperatures were around 7 am this morning. We are talking near record lows!

Today: High 22, Low 18
The snow pack will keep temperatures from warming too much, even with the sun shining all day. Even with the temperatures so cold, the sun mixed with temperatures in the low 20's will allow decent melting on the main roads today. Even so, only head out in case of an emergency. Most roads are still virtually impassable, and multiple vehicles are abandoned on the sides of roads all across the city. 
With that being said, we have another shot at snow tonight and tomorrow. A clipper system could bring 1 to 2 inches of dry snow to the region to add to our current snow depth. This would once again make the morning commute for Wednesday extremely treacherous. 
NAM 4k Simulated Reflectivity at 3 am Wednesday
The NAM models are spitting out anywhere from .1 to .3 inches of moisture with this clipper. With snow ratios of 15:1 or 20:1 that could mean 1 to 3 inches of snow across the area. However, the air is dry and part of that may not reach the ground. 
Wednesday: High temperatures will be a tad bit cooler than Tuesday. Snow squalls will be a concern throughout much of the day with the passing of the cold front. A snow squall, while rather isolated, can drop heavy snow in a short amount of time, and everything that falls will stick. Here is a look at the NAM 4k once again showing the potential for scattered squalls tomorrow. 
NAM 4k Simulated Reflectivity at 3 pm Wednesday
Some areas may see 2 to 3 inches of snow by tomorrow evening if they pick up snow with both the clipper and snow squalls. A general 1 to 3 inches of snow looks like a good bet for most people through tomorrow evening. 
Record low temperatures will be heading our way by late week along with another storm by the weekend. This storm continues to look more and more like a rain make, but it has the chance to start out as snow. 
Weekly Outlook:
Today: Partly sunny and cold, with a high near 22. Wind chill values as low as 8. West wind 3 to 8 mph.
Tonight: Snow showers likely, mainly before 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 12. Wind chill values as low as 4. West wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of around 2 inches.
Wednesday: A 30 percent chance of snow showers, mainly before 2pm. Partly sunny and cold, with a high near 17. Wind chill values as low as -8. West wind 8 to 16 mph.
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around -9. Wind chill values as low as -21. West wind 6 to 11 mph.
Thursday: Mostly sunny and cold, with a high near 10. West wind 7 to 10 mph.
Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around -2.
Friday: A 30 percent chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 27.
Friday Night: Rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 23. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday: Rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 44. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night: Rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 30. Chance of precipitation is 60%.


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