Wednesday, November 19, 2014

Wet and Warmer Weekend Ahead

Current Conditions:
Good afternoon everyone.  After below normal temperatures the past few days, a warm up is finally in store.  This morning the low for Bowling Green was 18° and we warmed up nicely to 54°.  Currently a surface low is located over the northern tip of Michigan, and a cold front stretches from Michigan down to the southeast corner of Missouri.  A surface high is currently located over southeast Nebraska and northeast Kansas.  The warmer temperatures today are attributed to a warm front that moved through earlier today.  The surface high pressure over Nebraska and Kansas will begin to move into our area tomorrow.

Forecast Discussion: 
Tonight, the surface cold front that is running through southeast Missouri will continue to push southeast bringing colder temperatures with it.  No precipitation is expected as the front moves through due to a lack of moisture.  The surface high pressure will then move in and be in control tomorrow afternoon into Friday.  Thursday night into Friday a disturbance will approach us from the southwest, however due to a lack of moisture, no precipitation is expected with this system.  Friday night into Saturday this same disturbance will continue to move off to the northeast.  As it moves off to the northeast, a brief shower is possible early Saturday morning.  Saturday night into Sunday a surface low will approach from the southwest bringing rain chances back into the forecast.  Ahead of this system, winds will be out of the south allowing high temperatures to be in the low-60s by Sunday.

Surface map valid for November 20 at 12:00pm CDT.

Days at a Glance:

Tonight:  Expect a low of 29° before midnight under partly cloudy skies.  Winds will be out of the west at 5 - 10 mph.  No precipitation expected. 

Thursday:  Expect a low of 26° and a high of 40° under mostly sunny skies.  Winds will be out of the south at 5-10 mph.  No chance of precipitation. 

Friday:  Expect a low of 23° and a high of 41° under mostly clear skies becoming partly cloudy.  Winds will be out of the southeast at 5-10 mph.  No precipitation expected.  

Saturday:  Expect a low of 30° and a high of 51° under mostly cloudy skies.  Winds will be out of the south at 5-10 mph.  A small disturbance will move through in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.   

Sunday:  Expect a low of 43° and a high of 61° under mostly cloudy skies.  Winds will be out of the south at 10-15 mph.  Rain will move through around noon.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Forecaster:  Tyler Binkley                    

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