This disturbance is expected to bring more than just clouds to the area however, rain changing to snow seems likely. Before the mention of snow causes mass panic however, I'll mention that snow accumulations will remain light (up to 1 inch). Rain is expected to begin after midnight tonight and then continue into the morning hours of Thursday before changing over to light snow. The exact timing of the change over to snow remains a little tricky even at this hour, but most data suggest a changeover between 7 am and 9 am just after a cold front passes through bringing in much colder air. Total rain before the changeover should remain less than 0.10" and snowfall accumulations will only be from a dusting up to an inch. The most intense (yet still light) snow will occur just after the change over and thus generally before noon. However, light snow and snow flurries could continue throughout the day before coming to a complete end during the evening hours. If you travel north and even east of Warren County, expected a greater chance of accumulating snow. In fact areas along the Ohio River could see 1-3 inches; the NWS has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for those areas.
|GFS model for noon on Thursday. Precipitation falling north of the blue line cutting through KY should be falling generally as snow.|
Tonight: Cloudy skies with an 80% chance of light rain after midnight. Chilly with a low around 36 with temperatures warming to near 38 by around 5 am. Rainfall less than a 0.10". Light southerly winds.
Thursday: 80% chance of precipitation. Light rain will change to light snow between 7 - 9 am. Light snow and snow flurries will continue off and on throughout the day. Total snow accumulation of up to 1" possible. Cold with temperatures starting near 38 falling below freezing around 9-11 am; ~31 by noon, ~28 by 3 pm, ~25 by 6 pm. Windy with northwest winds between 10 - 20 mph. Wind chills in the teens during the afternoon.
Thursday Night: Cloudy skies with a chance of flurries early will become partly to mostly clear by morning. Cold with a low around 17. Breezy with northerly winds from 10 - 20 mph becoming 8 -14 mph by morning. Wind chills as low as the upper single digits.
Friday: Cold with a high only near 27! Partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies.
Saturday: Mostly sunny skies with increasing clouds late. Low around 19; warmer with a high near 40.
Sunday: A chance of rain and snow. Low near 34 and a high around 38.
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Forecaster: Ryan Difani