Tuesday, February 19, 2013

From Winter to Spring with rain...

Forecast Overview:

Tuesday: High 44, Low 24.  Rain will be ending over night making way for partly cloudy skies.  Breezy conditions will still continue as winds shift from SW to W with speeds up to 18 mph.

Wednesday: High 39, Low 25. Clouds clearing to allow for mostly sunny skies.  Winds shift to the NNW with speeds around 9 mph.

Thursday: High 48, Low 42.  Slightly warmer temperatures coming to Warren County bringing with it another chance of showers.  Winds shifting to the W with speeds around 12 mph.  Chance of rain 50%.

Friday: High 58, Low 41.  Warming trend continues.  Clouds will remain making it a mostly cloudy day.  Winds shifting to the SW with speeds around 7 mph.

Forecast Discussion

As a negatively tilted trough pushed through our area Monday evening bringing the storms we saw overnight Monday into early Tuesday.  With a substantial ridge following this trough, the skies will be clearing up allowing us to have partly cloudy skies change to mostly sunny skies, winds progressively calming down,  and, unfortunately, colder temperatures Tuesday and Wednesday.  Our next chance of rain is on Thursday. A closed low will develop over the Rockies and move across the Great Plains drawing in a lot of moisture from the Pacific Ocean as strong upper level winds come out of the SW and eventually moves in to our neighborhood mid-afternoon/early evening on Thursday.  Following this closed low is a ridge that will give us warmer temperatures on Friday, but cloudy conditions will remain.

NAM valid for Friday 06z. Precipitation will be progressively moving east, and
be in our area between 6:00p.m. Thursday and 12:00a.m. Friday. 

Look here for an update Thursday at what the weekend looks like.

Forecaster: Will Paschall

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