Thursday, September 13, 2012

Weekend Outlook

Currently, there is a surface cold front draped across Michigan's Upper Peninsula with a SW orientation through Iowa into the Texas panhandle. The upper level support over the surface low situated in northern Quebec is strong, but my concern resides in the strength of the stated front. Models are not showing high moisture content for our area because of the shielding effect the retreating high pressure created. The moisture inflow from the Gulf of Mexico is significant in Texas with the nose extending north-northeast into Louisiana and Arkansas. The front is shown to pass through central Indiana into Friday, but not fully impacting our area before losing strength and dissipating into Saturday. Wedged between two strong high pressure systems, the front loses its ability to progress, not to mention the lack of moisture present. High pressure is shown to once again dominate our area on Saturday into Sunday.
The HPC Quantitative Precipitation Forecast showing Friday morning between Saturday morning.

What does this mean all bundled up? Look for more of the same temperatures today as the previous couple of days with a high in the middle 80's and a low tomorrow morning in the mid 60's. For Friday, cloud cover should proceed the front, and we will keep highs in the mid 70's and lows in the low 60's. Any amount of precipitation will be Friday evening into Saturday, but models are struggling to show a trace with consistent probability. Expect some relief from the struggling front with the high temperatures for Saturday and Sunday in the mid to upper 70's and lows in the mid 50's.

Forecaster: Austin Boys

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