Monday, April 23, 2012

Chances of rain for most of the week

Highlights
Monday:  Mostly sunny.  High near 62 with a low around 40.
Tuesday:  Partly cloudy with a slight chance for showers.  High near 64 with a low around 49.
Wednesday:  Mostly cloudy early with a better shot at rain.  High near 80 with a low around 62.

Discussion
Over the next few days, the high amplitude trough that brought the much cooler temperatures to the state during the weekend will deepen and slowly slide eastward.  The very meridional pattern across the United States, which currently features a ridge across the country's midsection, won't change much until later this week.  Strong northerly winds that brought the cold air advection will transition to more of a westerly pattern by late Tuesday, possibly advecting enough moisture eastward for overrunning to create a shower before the trough exits.  Early Wednesday, a warm front will lift north of the area, warming temperatures again to levels slightly above average until a trailing cold front propagates through the state.  Moisture will be a limiting factor for any severe weather threat given the short amount of time available to destabilize the atmosphere.  Nonetheless, rain chances will persist into the next forecast period.

Lead Forecaster:  Jeremy Young

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