Storm's A-Coming!

Good Afternoon! Let's get right down to business on this upcoming system!

We're looking at some severe weather making its way into the area late tomorrow evening. The most current SPC Day 2 Convective Outlook puts all of Bowling Green and Warren County in the Enhanced risk area.

Day 2 Convective Outlook  (SPC) 1143AM CST

 According to NWS Louisville, there is a moderate threat for damaging winds and a slight threat for some isolated tornadoes within the region. However, there is a low threat for flooding, but stay aware of some of the lower areas. The main risk for now looks to be the wind which could gust up to nearly 40mph.

giphy.com

Tomorrow's high will be around 70, so nice for us and storm formations. The warm temperatures tomorrow should help with this setup, allowing some convection to take place.
Timing for the event currently show that the system should be in after 6PM CST and continuing to make its way through the area throughout the overnight. The strongest line looks to make its way through by midnight.

NAM Simulated Reflectivity for midnight CST (COD)

By 3AM CST, we should start clearing out. Our low temperatures will be around 45, but won't jump back up much on Wednesday. We'll begin to see a bit of a cooling trend for a few days, but we'll talk more about that as it gets closer.

I'll be back later with an update on tomorrow's system!

A Look Ahead: 

This Afternoon: Isolated showers before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56. Northeast wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Tonight: A 20 percent chance of showers after 3am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 45. East wind 5 to 8 mph. 

Tuesday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 70. Breezy, with a south wind 9 to 14 mph increasing to 16 to 21 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Tuesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms before 5am, then a chance of showers. Low around 46. Breezy, with a southwest wind 16 to 21 mph decreasing to 9 to 14 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible. 

Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of showers before 7am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 48. West wind 9 to 11 mph. 

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 41.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 25.

Friday: Sunny, with a high near 47.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 28.

Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 48.

Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 47.

Forecaster: Cait French