Tornado watch until 12:00 AM March 24 CDT

The SPC has issued a tornado watch for our area that includes Warren
County, one which is valid until 12:00 AM March 24, midnight tonight.
We're expecting moisture to continue to advect into the area, meeting
up with instability and a feature from the upper level low to our east
to supplement the storms that are forming.  It is possible for a
tornado out of one of these storms.  More updates will be provided as
necessary.

This map shows the entirety of the watch

Lead Forecaster:  Jeremy Young

Severe thunderstorm watch possible for this afternoon

Now that the Storm Prediction Center has placed us under a slight risk again for the afternoon, it looks as though the strengthening of storms ahead of the cut-off upper-level low is likely.  Clearing, as seen in visible satellite imagery, will help destabilize the atmosphere, helping to generate CAPE values up to about 1000 J/kg. 

 

In addition to the higher CAPE values advecting into the area, steep low and mid-level lapse rates will be moving eastward as well, contributing to the severe weather threat by making hail a more likely possibility. 

We’re expecting effective shear values to help generate a line of storms across western Kentucky that will move eastward into the county by the late afternoon.  Coverage is still going to be scattered, but cells that do develop will likely be near or at severe limits.

More updates will be posted as watches and warnings are issued by the SPC and NWS.

Lead Forecaster:  Jeremy Young